Since the film I like the least (“The Artist”) seems to be the front runner for most awards, I’m not going to make predictions. Instead, here are my Oscar hopes ranging from incredibly likely to fanciful dreams.
Martin Scorsese Wins Best Director
Why: Besides the fact I love Scorsese completely and think everything he does is wonderful, I do believe “Hugo” is a great film and uses 3D in a way that enhances the storytelling and never feels gimmicky.
How Likely: Actually, pretty darn likely. The Academy loves Martin Scorsese and may choose to split Best Picture and Director between “The Artist” and “Hugo.”
Stuart Craig Wins Best Art Direction
Why: For eight films Craig and his team of movie magicians took the vibrantly imagined world of JK Rowling and brought it to the screen. Much of the fanciful sights in “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows” are filmed in camera, with digital effects added in later. Craig is responsible for much of what makes HP real and wonderful for fans.
How Likely: 50/50. Stuart Craig has won twice for “Gandhi” and “Dangerous Liaisons” so is no stranger to the Academy. But voters may not be as discerning in the bottom categories and forget Craig’s great work.
Gary Oldman Wins Best Actor
Why: More than awarding the best acting achievement of the year, I feel Oscars should recognize a particular actor’s best career achievement. It’s shocking that “Tinker Tailor Solder Spy” is Gary Oldman’s first acting nomination after a lifetime of bold, scene-stealing, and fantastic performances. Yet, Oldman really is his best as George Smiley and loved playing the part.
How Likely: Unfortunately, not bloody likely. Even the Brits gave Dujardin best actor. Where’s the love? Where’s the national loyalty?
Woody Allen wins and shows up to collect Best Original Screenplay
Why: "Midnight In Paris" is my favorite movie of the year and I wish it had more momentum in the leading categories. The script for "Midnight" is wonderful and each time I see the film, I find something else about it to laugh at or cherish.
How Likely: Pretty likely for the win. Not likely at all for the showing up part.
Meryl Streep Wins Best Actress
Why: Meryl Streep has not won an Oscar in almost 30 years and she gives a towering performance in “The Iron Lady.” It’s Meryl time, period.
How Likely: Somewhat Likely. Streep won at the Golden Globes and the BAFTAs, which are good signs. Though, Viola Davis took the SAG Awards, so I’m not declaring victory on this one yet.
Prominent Star Wars references when James Earl Jones wins the Thalberg Award
Why: James Earl Jones is an iconic actor with many wonderful film performances, yet I hold his voice work as Darth Vader so close to my soul that I need many Star Wars references. And I don’t care what the LA Times thinks, this is Jones’ EGOT!
How Likely: Pretty likely, Billy Crystal is hosting after all.
Uggie the Dog
Why: Because America loves Uggie and it was a great year for Jack Russell Terriors in cinema.
How Likely: Almost Assured. I can’t say much about “The Artist” in the way of priase, but I will admit Uggie is pretty awesome. What would be better than to have the best acting talent in the film share the stage with Billy Crystal?
Daniel Radcliffe or Michael Fassbender present awards
Why: I think when it comes to promoting films, Radcliffe and Fassbender win the MVP. There isn’t anyone or any venue where they won’t give an interview. What better time to show up than Hollywood’s biggest night.
How Likely: Since I make it my business to know all things Radcliffe or Fassbender and haven’t heard anything about presenting, I’ll just hope to be surprised.
Meryl Streep Kissing Random People
Why: If you present an award to Meryl Streep, you are going to get a kiss. If you are Ralph Fiennes or Colin Firth, Meryl Streep is going to make out with you on stage. That’s her thing and I can’t wait.
How Likely: 100% likely since Firth is presenting. And if she doesn’t win, I’d bet money she’ll grab Viola Davis and kiss her anyway.
The Muppets Perform Anyway
Why: The Muppets should be hosting the show in the first place and were robbed of their chance to preform a variety of songs by the lackluster best Song Category and further ridiculousness of cutting the performances. Miss Piggy hosted the BAFTA Red Carpet like a champ. Bring on the Muppets!
How Likely: Pretty Likely. I bet Billy Crystal includes The Muppets in his act.